Carl from ATHF loves the GIANTS

This video accurately sums up my opinion on the Giants.

Superbowl Box Pool Odds on Point Change

my dad sent me this link today:

http://www.j-e-f-f.com/sb-o-m.htm

it details the percentage payout per quarter that each superbowl pool box has earned in all superbowls. since we play a pool on point change, this link doesn't actually tell us much.

so i went to superbowl.com for stats and made a quick program to come up with this chart that gives us the percentage of hits on each box. here it is:

	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9
0	10.69	2.24	1.21	8.79	5	1.72	7.59	8.45	1.21	2.76
1		0.17	0.34	0.86	0.86	0.34	1.03	1.38	0.17	0.52
2			0	1.21	0.34	0	1.03	1.38	0.17	0.52
3				3.62	2.76	0.17	4.83	5.52	0.17	1.55
4					0.69	0.52	1.55	3.1	0	1.9
5						0	0.17	0.52	0	0.17
6							1.21	3.45	0.34	0.86
7								2.93	0.86	1.9
8									0.17	0.69
9										0.34

When taking AFC & NFC into consideration, this is the chart. NFC is the columns going across, AFC is the rows going down.

	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9
0	10.69	1.55	0.69	4.66	2.93	1.21	3.97	4.48	1.03	1.55
1	0.69	0.17	0.34	0.69	0.69	0.17	0.69	0.86	0.17	0.34
2	0.52	0	0	0.52	0.34	0	0.52	0.69	0	0.34
3	4.14	0.17	0.69	3.62	1.03	0	2.59	2.76	0.17	1.38
4	2.07	0.17	0	1.72	0.69	0	1.03	2.07	0	1.03
5	0.52	0.17	0	0.17	0.52	0	0.17	0.34	0	0.17
6	3.62	0.34	0.52	2.24	0.52	0	1.21	1.72	0.34	0.34
7	3.97	0.52	0.69	2.76	1.03	0.17	1.72	2.93	0.34	0.86
8	0.17	0	0.17	0	0	0	0	0.52	0.17	0.52
9	1.21	0.17	0.17	0.17	0.86	0	0.52	1.03	0.17	0.34

and likewise, here are the expected final scores when afc/nfc is not taken into account:

	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9
0	0	2.44	2.44	2.44	0	4.88	4.88	7.32	0	4.88
1		0	0	0	4.88	4.88	2.44	2.44	2.44	2.44
2			0	0	2.44	0	0	2.44	0	2.44
3				0	4.88	0	4.88	2.44	0	0
4					0	0	0	9.76	0	2.44
5						0	0	0	0	0
6							2.44	2.44	2.44	2.44
7								4.88	0	2.44
8									0	2.44
9										0

and when afc & nfc are taken into account (afc is rows again)

	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9
0	0	0	2.44	0	0	4.88	2.44	4.88	0	2.44
1	2.44	0	0	0	2.44	2.44	2.44	2.44	2.44	2.44
2	0	0	0	0	2.44	0	0	0	0	2.44
3	2.44	0	0	0	2.44	0	0	2.44	0	0
4	0	2.44	0	2.44	0	0	0	9.76	0	2.44
5	0	2.44	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	2.44	0	0	4.88	0	0	2.44	2.44	2.44	2.44
7	2.44	0	2.44	0	0	0	0	4.88	0	0
8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2.44
9	2.44	0	0	0	0	0	0	2.44	0	0